BTC followed the structure perfectly, bouncing from the demand zone and climbing right back to 110K.
Great moment for everyone who tracked and traded the rebound setup 👍
But today isn’t just another rebound…
It’s one of the biggest Bitcoin options expiries of the year, with roughly $13 billion in contracts closing.
👉 Learn how derivatives impact price action in our Trading Academy.
Quick Lesson: What Happens on Expiry Days
When options expire, traders close or adjust positions. That process can cause sharp short-term moves, even when the chart appears calm.
The key concept here is “max pain.”
- It’s the price level where most option buyers lose money
- It’s also where option sellers (usually institutions) keep the bulk of their premiums
For Bitcoin, that max-pain zone sits near $114K 🎯
Why It Matters for Today
This doesn’t guarantee a move, but as large players unwind positions, their hedging flows can pull price toward that max-pain area.
Right now, that level aligns neatly with the rebound structure we just traded from 106K–107K.
- Price above 110K: aligns with continued strength into expiry.
- Target area: $113K–$114K (where max pain and technical resistance meet).
👉 You can replay how hedging flows affect price in the Trading Simulator.
Structure in Play
- Support: 107K–106K → prior demand and base of rebound.
- Resistance: 113K–114K → both max-pain magnet and key technical ceiling.
- Trend context: short-term bullish recovery within a larger consolidation.
As expiry passes, volatility often fades quickly – but until then, liquidity and positioning can push price around more than usual.
Trader Psychology
Options expiries test discipline. Many traders overreact to noise when flows distort short-term movement. The pros focus on context, not emotion.
Price is often drawn toward liquidity, not necessarily direction. Recognizing that helps you stay one step ahead of the crowd.
Bottom Line
BTC is rebounding cleanly and heading into one of the heaviest options expiries of the year.
- $114K = current max-pain zone and potential magnet.
- $110K = intraday pivot to watch for continued strength or early fade.
Copy that $114K level to your chart today and watch how price reacts. 😉
👉 Keep tracking post-expiry setups on Daily Insights and strengthen your understanding of options-driven price action in the Trading Academy.
