Ethereum Holds $4K Support as Moving Averages Flash Warning Signal

Ethereum consolidates around $4,100 as the 20-day MA crosses below the 100-day. A hold above $3,950 keeps the range intact, while a break could open downside toward $3,400.

28 Oct., 2025

28 Oct., 2025

Ethereum is sitting right in the middle of its range on the daily chart, trading around $4,100 and caught between strong support near $4K–$3.8K and resistance around $4.5K.

What stands out now is the 20-day moving average crossing below the 100-day – a signal that short-term momentum is fading after weeks of sideways action. It’s not a trend reversal yet, but it’s a caution flag. Buyers are losing pace. 🤔

👉 Learn how moving average crossovers reveal trend transitions in our Trading Academy.

Technical Overview

Price remains inside a broad consolidation range, compressing energy as volatility cools. This makes the next directional breakout more significant.

  • Support: $3,950–$3,800

  • Resistance: $4,250–$4,500

  • Trend markers:

  • 20-day MA has crossed below 100-day MA → early warning of fading momentum.

  • 200-day MA near $3,400 → key long-term trendline and potential downside target if support fails.

Key Scenarios

🟢 Bullish Path

If ETH recovers above $4,250–$4,300, it starts to neutralize the crossover signal and could re-ignite upside momentum toward $4,600+. A sustained close above resistance would shift the tone from caution to continuation.

🔴 Bearish Path

If ETH breaks below $3,950, it would confirm the caution signal and open the door for a deeper rotation toward the 200-day MA near $3,400. Momentum traders will likely stay defensive until that zone attracts new buyers.

Market Context

Ethereum’s range reflects broader crypto indecision. BTC dominance remains stable, and overall liquidity hasn’t changed much. Macro factors like Fed expectations and global risk sentiment continue to influence altcoins indirectly.

In short:

  • Sideways BTC → range-bound ETH.

  • MA crossover → temporary loss of short-term conviction.

  • Key levels → define the next macro swing.

👉 You can practice these consolidation breakouts using our Trading Simulator.

Trader Psychology

This kind of setup separates patient traders from impatient ones. When price compresses, it’s not time to predict – it’s time to prepare.

The best traders wait for confirmation around structure. Whether it breaks up or down, the next move out of this range will carry meaningful momentum.

Bottom Line

Ethereum remains in consolidation mode between $3.8K–$4.5K, with a short-term MA crossover hinting at fatigue.

  • Above $4,250–$4,300: bullish continuation toward $4,600+.

  • Below $3,950: deeper pullback toward $3,400 likely.

ETH is coiling between pressure and support – and the MA crossover makes the next breakout direction matter even more.

Copy to chart with all levels marked! 😉

👉 Follow crypto updates on Daily Insights and review moving average strategies in the Trading Academy.

Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All information is for simulation and educational purposes only.

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The Trading Game

By AgFin Sia - © 2025

Gara iela 7, Valmiera, Latvia

Reg. nr. 41203043323

The Trading Game

By AgFin Sia - © 2025

Gara iela 7, Valmiera, Latvia

Reg. nr. 41203043323

The Trading Game

By AgFin Sia - © 2025

Gara iela 7, Valmiera, Latvia

Reg. nr. 41203043323